Using EHR Data to Identify Patient Frailty and Risk for ICU Transfer

Abstract

The predictive properties of four definitions of a frailty risk score (FRS) constructed using combinations of nursing flowsheet data, laboratory tests, and ICD-10 codes were examined for time to first intensive care unit (ICU) transfer in medical-surgical inpatients ≥50 years of age. Cox regression modeled time to first ICU transfer and Schemper–Henderson explained variance summarized predictive accuracy of FRS combinations. Modeling by age group and controlling for sex, all FRS measures significantly predicted time to first ICU transfer. Further multivariable modeling controlling for clinical characteristics substantially improved predictive accuracy. The effect of frailty on time to first ICU transfer depended on age, with highest risk in 50 to <60 years and ≥80 years age groups. Frailty prevalence ranged from 25.1% to 56.4%. Findings indicate that FRS-based frailty is a risk factor for time to first ICU transfer and should be considered in assessment and care-planning to address frailty in high-risk patients. Frailty prevalence was highest med-surg pts 60 to <70 years (56%); highest risk for time to first ICU transfer was in younger (50 to <60 years) and older (≥80 years) groups.