Optimum Route and Transport Mode Selection of Multimodal Transport with Time Window under Uncertain Conditions

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of multimodal transport path planning under uncertain environments, this paper establishes a multi-objective fuzzy nonlinear programming model considering mixed-time window constraints by taking cost, time, and carbon emission as optimization objectives. To solve the model, the model is de-fuzzified by the fuzzy expectation value method and fuzzy chance-constrained planning method. Combining the game theory method with the weighted sum method, a cooperative game theory-based multi-objective optimization method is proposed. Finally, the effectiveness of the algorithm is verified in a real intermodal network. The experimental results show that the proposed method can effectively improve the performance of the weighted sum method and obtain the optimal multimodal transport path that satisfies the time window requirement, and the path optimization results are better than MOPSO and NSGA-II, effectively reducing transportation costs and carbon emissions. Meanwhile, the influence of uncertainty factors on the multimodal transport route planning results is analyzed. The results show that the uncertain factors will significantly increase the transportation cost and carbon emissions and affect the choice of route and transportation mode. Considering uncertainty factors can increase the reliability of route planning results and provide a more robust and effective solution for multimodal transportation.