Online Dynamic Modelling for Digital Twin Enabled Sintering Systems: An Iterative Update Data-Driven Method

Abstract

The sintering process is a crucial thermochemical process in the blast furnace iron-making system. Tumble strength (TS), as a vital performance to assess sinter quality, is difficult to monitor due to the lack of timely measurement. Constructing a data-driven model for TS is an alternative for monitoring TS. However, the time-varying dynamic sintering process makes the task of modelling challenging. And the data are incomplete and insufficient in practice for modelling since there are unknown time delays in the system and lack actual TS value. The digital twin (DT) technique is a powerful tool to simulate the system dynamics with the real-time interaction between physical processes and virtual agents in cyberspace. This paper introduces a DT-enabled equivalent of the sintering system and proposes online data-driven modelling for TS monitoring. The time delay in the system is estimated for variable sequence alignment based on a modified maximum information coefficient method. The data used for modelling is enriched based on a multi-source information fusion technique. An adaptive update method is proposed to deal with the time-varying dynamics. The iterative forgetting factor-based algorithm is designed for the support vector regression method and guarantees a fast computational speed. Implementation and validation of the model on a DT-enabled sintering system show the efficiency of the proposed method. The accuracy of TS monitoring reaches 99.6% by analysis of 3 months’ data.