A Novel Framework for Long-Term Forest Disturbance Monitoring: Synergizing the LandTrendr Algorithm with CNN in Northeast China

Abstract

A LandTrendr-CNN framework achieves 92.26% accuracy in classifying forest disturbances. NBR and SWIR2 bands are key for detecting fire, pest, and geological disturbances Multi-source validation integrates Landsat, fire, pest, logging, and hazard data. Slope analysis reveals distinct disturbance patterns across topographic gradients. Highlights: As carbon cycling and global environmental protection gain increasing attention, forest disturbance research has intensified worldwide. Constrained by limited data availability, existing frameworks often rely on extracting individual spectral bands for simple binary disturbance detection, lacking systematic approaches to visualize and classify causes of disturbance over large areas. Accurately identifying disturbance types is critical because different disturbances (e.g., fires, logging, pests) exhibit vastly different impacts on forest structure, successional pathways and, consequently, forest carbon sequestration and storage capacities. This study proposes an integrated remote sensing and deep learning (DL) method for forest disturbance type identification, enabling high-precision monitoring in Northeast China from 1992 to 2023. Leveraging the Google Earth Engine platform, we integrated Landsat time-series data (30 m resolution), Global Forest Change data, and other multi-source datasets. We extracted four key vegetation indices (NDVI, EVI, NBR, NDMI) to construct long-term forest disturbance feature series. A comparative analysis showed that the proposed convolutional neural network (CNN) model with six feature bands achieved 5.16% higher overall accuracy and a 6.92% higher Kappa coefficient than a random forest (RF) algorithm. Remarkably, even with only six features, the CNN model outperformed the RF model trained on fifteen features, achieving a 0.4% higher overall accuracy and a 0.58% higher Kappa coefficient, while utilizing 60% fewer parameters. The CNN model accurately classified forest disturbances—including fires, pests, logging, and geological disasters—achieving a 92.26% overall accuracy and an 89.04% Kappa coefficient. This surpasses the 81.4% accuracy of the Global Forest Change product. The method significantly improves the spatiotemporal accuracy of regional-scale forest monitoring, offering a robust framework for tracking ecosystem dynamics.