Abstract
We describe the most recent statistical methodology used to produce the 17th English Life Table, covering the period 2010–2012. Crude mortality rates are smoothed, or graduated, by using a combination of a generalized additive model and low dimensional parametric models. The approach to graduation acknowledges uncertainty, particularly in the highest age groups, by model averaging, using a simplified version of a full Bayesian analysis.
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Dodd, E., Forster, J. J., Bijak, J., & Smith, P. W. F. (2018). Smoothing mortality data: the English Life Tables, 2010–2012. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 181(3), 717–735. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12309
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