Evaluation of the clinical value of 10 estimating glomerular filtration rate equations and construction of a prediction model for kidney damage in adults from central China

Abstract

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate 10 estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equations in central China population and construct a diagnostic prediction model for assessing the kidney damage severity. Methods: The concordance of 10 eGFR equations was investigated in healthy individuals from central China, and their clinical effectiveness in diagnosing kidney injury was evaluated. Subsequently, relevant clinical indicators were selected to develop a clinical prediction model for kidney damage. Results: The overall concordance between CKD-EPIASR-Scr and CKD-EPI2021-Scr was the highest (weightedκ = 0.964) in healthy population. The CG formula, CKD-EPIASR-Scr and CKD-EPI2021-Scr performed better than others in terms of concordance with referenced GFR (rGFR), but had poor ability to distinguish between rGFR < 90 or < 60 mL/min·1.73 m2. This finding was basically consistent across subgroups. Finally, two logistic regression prediction models were constructed based on rGFR < 90 or 60 mL/min·1.73 m2. The area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic values of two prediction models were 0.811 vs 0.846 in training set and 0.812 vs 0.800 in testing set. Conclusion: The concordance of CKD-EPIASR-Scr and CKD-EPI2021-Scr was the highest in the central China population. The Cockcroft-Gault formula, CKD-EPIASR-Scr, and CKD-EPI2021-Scr more accurately reflected true kidney function, while performed poorly in the staging diagnosis of CKD. The diagnostic prediction models showed the good clinical application performance in identifying mild or moderate kidney injury. These findings lay a solid foundation for future research on renal function assessment and predictive equations.