MODEL-BASED ANALYSIS OF IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND MITIGATION ON HYDROPOWER

Abstract

See, stats, and : https : / / www . researchgate . net / publication / 298837482 MODEL - BASED CLIMATE HYDROPOWER Article DOI : 10 . 2208 / jscejhe . 72 . I_19 CITATIONS 0 READS 51 5 , including : Some : ADVANCE ADVANCE - http : / / fp7 - advance . eu / View Naota National 129 , 480 SEE Shinichiro National 94 SEE Yoshimitsu HU 53 SEE Yasuaki National 68 SEE All . The . All - text and , letting . To investigate the impacts of climate change and mitigation policies on future hydropower generation , we analyzed the global theoretical hydropower potential (THP) data calculated by the global hydrological model H08 and the hydropower generation (HG) data calculated by the Asia - Pacific Integrated Model / Computable General Equilibrium (AIM / CGE) model . The results implied that climate change would moderately increase the global total THP and socioeconomic change would substantially increase global total HG . Stringent mitigation policy would further increase HG . The increase rate of THP is much smaller than that of HG . There are large variations of increase or decrease in THP across regions , climate change scenarios and periods . The quantified influence demonstrated the significance of coupling H08 and AIM / CGE .