A Weight Assignment-Enhanced Convolutional Neural Network (WACNN) for Freight Volume Prediction of Sea–Rail Intermodal Container Systems

Abstract

In order to integrate the use of transportation resources, develop a reasonable sea–rail intermodal container transportation plan, and achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement of the multimodal transportation system, a method for predicting the daily freight volume of sea–rail intermodal transportation based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm is proposed and a new feature processing method is used: weight assignment (WA). Firstly, we use qualitative methods to preliminarily select the indicators, and then use multiple interpolation to fill in the missing raw data. Next, Pearson and Spearman quantitative analysis methods are used, and the analysis results are grouped using the k-means, with the high correlation groups assigned high weights. Next, we use quadratic interpolation to obtain the daily data. Finally, a weight assignment-enhanced convolutional neural network (WACNN) model and seven other mainstream models are constructed, using the Yingkou port container throughput prediction as a case study. The research results indicate that the WACNN prediction model has the best performance and strong robustness. The research results can provide a reference basis for the planning of sea–rail intermodal container transportation and the allocation of transportation resources, and achieve the overall efficiency improvement of logistics systems.