A Semantic Digital Twin-Driven Framework for Multi-Source Data Integration in Forest Fire Prediction and Response

Abstract

Forest fires have become increasingly frequent and severe due to climate change and intensified human activities, posing critical challenges to ecological security and emergency management. Despite the availability of abundant environmental, spatial, and operational data, these resources remain fragmented and heterogeneous, limiting the efficiency and accuracy of fire prediction and response. To address this challenge, this study proposes a Semantic Digital Twin-Driven Framework for integrating multi-source data and supporting forest fire prediction and response. The framework constructs a multi-ontology network that combines the Semantic Sensor Network (SSN) and Sensor, Observation, Sample, and Actuator (SOSA) ontologies for sensor and observation data, the GeoSPARQL ontology for geospatial representation, and two domain-specific ontologies for fire prevention and emergency response. Through systematic data mapping, instantiation, and rule-based reasoning, heterogeneous information is transformed into an interconnected knowledge graph. The framework supports both semantic querying (SPARQL) and rule-based reasoning (SWRL) to enable early risk alerts, resource allocation suggestions, and knowledge-based decision support. A case study in Sichuan Province demonstrates the framework’s effectiveness in integrating historical and live data streams, achieving consistent reasoning outcomes aligned with expert assessments, and improving decision timeliness by enhancing data interoperability and inference efficiency. This research contributes a foundational step toward building intelligent, interoperable, and reasoning-enabled digital forest systems for sustainable fire management and ecological resilience.