Diagnostic value of procalcitonin for identifying the etiology of lower respiratory tract infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis

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Abstract

Background: Differentiating pathogens of lower respiratory tract infections(LRTIs) is challenging. This study aims to determine whether procalcitonin(PCT) level could distinguish different pathogens in adults with LRTIs. Methods: We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trails that identified all relevant diagnostic accuracy studies. Studies were assessed for reporting of diagnostic accuracy, relevance and quality. Data were extracted for meta-analysis. Results: 18 trials involving 3174 patients were included. For differentiating bacteria from viruses, pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio(+LR), negative likelihood ratio(−LR) and diagnostic odds ratio(DOR) for PCT(0·5ug/L) were 0.49(95%CI, 0.33–0.66), 0.80(95%CI,0.65–0.90), 2.48(95%CI,1.75–3.50), 0.63 (95%CI, 0.52–0.77) and 3.93(95%CI,2.87–5.37), respectively. For differentiating typical pathogens from atypical pathogens, pooled sensitivity, specificity, +LR, -LR and DOR for PCT(0·5ug/L) were 0.60(95%CI,0.41–0.76), 0.81(95%CI,0.61–0.92), 3.09(95%CI,1.80–5.32), 0.50(95%CI,0.37–0.68) and 6.20(95%CI,3.76–10.21), respectively. Conclusions: The results of this meta-analysis showed that PCT has moderate diagnostic accuracy for lower respiratory tract pathogens such as bacteria, viruses, and atypical pathogens.

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Lin, C. Y., Zhou, X., Li, G. G., Qiu, J., Li, D., & Pang, Q. Y. (2026, December 1). Diagnostic value of procalcitonin for identifying the etiology of lower respiratory tract infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Infectious Diseases. BioMed Central Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-12426-9

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