The Impact of Rainfall on Water, Energy, Industry and Economic Growth—Based on Empirical Data from 29 Provinces in China

Abstract

Sustainable urban development requires good interaction between water, energy, infrastructure and socio-economic areas. In the context of more frequent heavy rainfall and flooding events, managing the subsystems within the city in an integrated manner and realizing sustainable development have become popular research topics. Based on the above analysis, this paper constructs a water, energy, industry and economic growth system. It also introduces rainfall as an exogenous variable into the model in order to simulate the process of interactions between subsystems within a city and achieve sustainable development. By measuring the dynamic changes and spatial distribution characteristics of the efficiency values of the total water–energy–industry and economic growth system and each subsystem in 29 provinces in China, the following conclusions are drawn: (1) Most of the provinces are in the situation of “high-efficiency–negative growth” or “low-efficiency–positive growth”, and the constraints for them to reach the state of “high efficiency–positive growth” are due to the water subsystem. (2) The low-efficiency provinces are mainly concentrated in the central region, and the spillover effect of the low-efficiency provinces on the neighboring regions is more notable than that of the high-efficiency provinces. (3) The addition of rainfall improves the total efficiency in most provinces, with the most obvious improvement in the efficiency of the water subsystem. (4) The efficiency value of the industry and economic growth subsystem is relatively less affected by the amount of rainfall, but excessive rainfall will also have a negative impact. Finally, relevant policy recommendations are made to inform the relevant government departments in formulating policies related to addressing climate change and achieving sustainable urban development.