Journal Article

Experience and the base-rate fallacy

Organizational Behavior and Human Performance (1982) 29(2) 270-278
DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(82)90260-4
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Abstract

This study shows that decision makers can use the base rate to assess posterior probabilities when they have experienced the relationship between the base rate and the diagnostic information. When they experience only the base rate, they do not use it. © 1982.

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Christensen-Szalanski, J. J. J., & Beach, L. R. (1982). Experience and the base-rate fallacy. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 29(2), 270–278. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(82)90260-4

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