A Mechanism for Bitcoin Price Forecasting using Deep Learning

Abstract

Researchers and investors have recently become interested in forecasting the cryptocurrency price forecasting but the most important currency can take that it’s the bitcoin exchange rate. Some researchers have aimed at leveraging the technical and financial characteristics of Bitcoin to create predictive models, while others have utilized conventional statistical methods to explain these factors. This article explores the LSTM model for forecasting the value of bitcoins using historical bitcoin price series. Predict future bitcoin prices by developing the most accurate LSTM forecasting model, building an advanced LSTM forecasting model (LSTM-BTC), and comparing past bitcoin prices. This is the second step, if looking at the end of the model, it has very high accuracy in predicting future prices. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using five different datasets with monthly, weekly, daily, hourly, and minute-by-minute bitcoin price data with total records from January 1, 2021, to March 31, 2022. The results confirm the better forecasting accuracy of the proposed model using LSTM-BTC. The analysis includes square error MSE, RMSE, MAPE, and MAE of bitcoin price forecasting. Compared to the conventional LSTM model, the suggested LSTM-BTC model performs better. The contribution made by this research is to present a new framework for predicting the price of Bitcoin that solves the issue of choosing and evaluating input variables in LSTM without making firm data assumptions. The outcomes demonstrate its potential use in applications for industry forecasting, including different cryptocurrencies, health data, and economic time.