Fuel distribution optimization with gas stations addition to anticipate the increasing of demand in Lombok Island

Abstract

Distribution of fuel oil or special fuel (BBM/BBK) is the activity of distributing BBM/BBK from the supply point to the recipient (depot, industry, gas station) which is carried out by several modes of transportation. One of the steps to optimize the distribution of BBM/BBK and anticipate an increase in demand is to add gas stations. The steps taken are forecasting future BBM/BBK consumption, looking for the ability to serve gas station consumers by looking at stock stability. Then calculating gas station utility capacity, looking for factors that affect demand using regression method, where the variable used is fuel consumption for dependent variable and number of residents, vehicles, and tourists as independent variables. Furthermore, plotting the distribution and determining the location of gas station development plan by considering these factors and other factors such as road class, distance between gas stations, and disaster-prone areas, to obtain 6 alternative locations for gas station development plan. With analysis using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), there are two locations with very suitable categories, in Rembitan, Pujut District with a weight of 0.21 and in Pengawisan Sekotong Barat with a weight of 0.22.