Simpson's paradox and the Bayes factor

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Abstract

A counter-example presented by Lindley to Aitkin's posterior Bayes factor is examined. The paradoxical feature of the counter-example is found to be a simple case of Simpson's paradox. © 1998 Royal Statistical Society.

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Aitkin, M. (1998). Simpson’s paradox and the Bayes factor. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology, 60(1), 269–270. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00124

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