System Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis

  • Loucks D
  • van Beek E
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Abstract

The usefulness of any model is in part dependent on the accuracy and reliability of its output data. Yet, because all models are abstractions of real- ity, and because precise input data are rarely if ever available, all output values are subject to imprecision. The input data and modeling uncertainties are not independent of each other. They can interact in various ways. The end result is imprecision and uncertainty associated with model output. This chapter focuses on ways of identifying, quantifying, and communicating the uncertainties in model outputs. 8.1

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Loucks, D. P., & van Beek, E. (2017). System Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis. In Water Resource Systems Planning and Management (pp. 331–374). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44234-1_8

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