Crimen y economía: análisis de la tasa de homicidio en México a partir de variables económicas (2000, 2005, 2010)

Abstract

This work deals with the empirical validity of four hypotheses linking economic factors with violent crime. To measure the effects of the explicative variables and to control for the influence of outliers in the distribution of homicide rates, robust regression techniques where applied to data from 2 442 Mexican municipalities in three years (2000, 2005 and 2010). Towards the end of the text, a general model was introduced with all the independent variables. The final model included relative deprivation, economic development and two control variables: young cohort and population density. According to the results the final model successfully explains the variation of homicide rates in more than 50% of the municipalities included in the study.