Population Projection and Adjustment Methodologies for Household Sample Surveys: an Overview of Methodology

Abstract

Population projections are essential for updating the population information which will be used as the ideal sampling frame for many surveys such as health, agriculture and many others. The techniques used to make population projections can be classified as mathematical models and cohort component projection models. Mathematical models are useful when we only need to project the total and domain populations. Therefore, they use total population figures from the past to project future population levels. Among the possible alternative curve fitting methods like linear, geometric, logistic and exponential, the most widely used mathematical model for population projections is exponential model.