Measuring aquatic environments as a tool for flood risk management in terms of climate change dynamics

Abstract

We studied climate change dynamics in southwestern Poland. The authors based the assessment of dynamics on the results of flood risk analyses. 30-day flow maxima were selected for three 10-year periods based on hydrological data on daily flows from 1986 to 2015 from the hydrological station on the Oder River in the town of Malczyce. By utilizing the selected maxima as well as selected maximum value distributions, probabilistic models of extreme flows were constructed for the three studied periods – each divided into six-month periods of “summer” and “winter.” The estimated models were used to calculate measurements of flood risks in the analyzed periods. We analyzed the studied area on the basis of the results the dynamics of flood risks.