Global stability of multi-group SAIRS epidemic models

Abstract

We study a multi-group SAIRS-type epidemic model with vaccination. The role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals is explicitly considered in the transmission pattern of the disease among the groups in which the population is divided. This is a natural extension of the homogeneous mixing SAIRS model with vaccination studied in Ottaviano et. al (2021) to a network of communities. We provide a global stability analysis for the model. We determine the value of the basic reproduction number (Figure presented.) and prove that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if (Figure presented.). In the case of the SAIRS model without vaccination, we prove the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium also when (Figure presented.). Moreover, if (Figure presented.), the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and a unique endemic equilibrium exists. First, we investigate the local asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium and subsequently its global stability, for two variations of the original model. Last, we provide numerical simulations to compare the epidemic spreading on different networks topologies.