A Geospatial Framework for Spatiotemporal Crash Hotspot Detection Using Space–Time Cube Modeling and Emerging Pattern Analysis

Abstract

Traffic crashes remain a critical public safety issue and are among the leading causes of mortality worldwide. Understanding, analyzing, and forecasting crash trends are essential for implementing effective countermeasures and reducing injury severity. In response to the growing number of crashes and their associated economic and social costs, this study presents a geospatial analytical framework for prioritizing and classifying roadway segments based on crash trends. The framework focuses on a major freeway corridor in the United States, covering a four-year period across 20 counties. This methodology employs spatiotemporal analysis, which integrates both spatial (geographic) and temporal (time-based) dimensions to better understand how crash patterns evolve over time and space. A central component of the analysis is Space–Time Cube (STC) modeling, a three-dimensional GIS-based visualization, and an analytical approach that organizes data into spatial locations (x and y) across a sequence of temporal bins (z-axis) to reveal patterns that may not be evident in a two-dimensional analysis. Additionally, emerging pattern analysis, specifically Emerging Hotspot Analysis (EHA), is used to identify statistically significant trends in crash frequency over time. The results indicate a significant spatial clustering of crashes, with high-risk segments predominantly located in densely populated urban areas with high traffic volumes. Crash hotspots were classified into five distinct categories: persistent, intensifying, new, sporadic, and diminishing, enabling transportation agencies to tailor interventions based on temporal dynamics. The proposed geospatial framework enhances decision making for roadway safety improvements and can be adapted for use in other regional corridors to support infrastructure investment and advance public safety.