Does the Energy-Consumption Permit Trading Scheme Improve Carbon Emission Performance? Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in China

Abstract

The Chinese government launched the Energy-Consumption Permit Trading Scheme (ECPT) in 2016 as a pilot policy initiative to achieve energy conservation and emissions reduction goals. To generate a quasi-natural experiment, this study used a difference-in-differences (DID) approach with panel data from 2006 to 2020 in China. The goal was to explore the impact of the ECPT policy on the carbon emission performance (CEP) as well as analyze the underlying influence processes. The findings indicate that applying the ECPT has a considerable positive influence on the CEP. In comparison to provinces that did not engage in the pilot program, those that did reported a 4.5% improvement in CEP. We can safely declare that the results remain consistent and trustworthy after undergoing a battery of rigorous tests to assess the robustness of our findings. The mechanism’s evaluation revealed that the ECPT has the potential to improve the CEP, mostly via changing energy consumption patterns and stimulating technological innovation. Furthermore, when we considered heterogeneity, we discovered that factors such as geographical location, the level of green financing development, and the level of environmental regulation may affect the ECPT policy effects.