Network-Synchronization Analysis Reveals the Weakening Tropical Circulations

Abstract

The impact of climate change on extreme weather is one of the most concerning problems. Climate change could cause more frequent and unexpected extreme weather. Still, synchronization features of extreme weather under climate change are not fully understood. Here, we develop a climate network approach to study global synchronization patterns of extreme events based on the 500-hPa geopotential field. We find that a positive event synchronization (PES) network is associated with the tropical circulations in the tropics; a negative event synchronization network is associated with the large-scale atmospheric Rossby waves in mid-latitudes. By studying temporal evolution of the PES network, we find that the synchronization strengths in the tropics are weakening under climate change in relation to the slowing down of tropical circulations. Furthermore, our results show that the strength of synchronization in Africa and the Atlantic Ocean decrease faster than other regions.