Ecosystem dynamics of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia: paleoecological insights into climate sensitivity

Abstract

Northern peatlands are carbon-rich ecosystems highly sensitive to climate change, with nearly half of their carbon stocks associated with permafrost. Peat-based paleoecological records provide insights into the complex responses of permafrost peatlands to long-term climate variability, but most studies have been conducted in ice-rich permafrost peatlands in Europe and North America. Here, we use multiple active-layer cores to reconstruct the ecosystem history of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia, near the southernmost limit of circum-Arctic permafrost but outside the distribution of circum-Arctic thermokarst landscape. Our results show that the peatland, which has developed on a floodplain since the late Holocene cooling, underwent a major phase of lateral expansion during the Little Ice Age. A fen-to-bog transition occurred in recent decades, with dry-adapted Sphagnum mosses replacing herbaceous vegetation across the site and having rapid surficial peat accumulation. Carbon isotope ratios of Sphagnum macrofossils, a proxy for surface wetness, indicate that Sphagnum mosses were initially established under very dry conditions but that their habitats have since become gradually wetter. Synthesizing these findings, we highlight that (1) permafrost aggradation during climate cooling may promote new peatland formation over permeable mineral substrate by impeding drainage; (2) anthropogenic climate warming and active-layer deepening can induce an ecosystem-scale regime shift, but ice-poor permafrost peatlands generally exhibit stability and homogeneity due to the absence of dynamic surface morphology (such as frost heave and thermokarst collapse); (3) ongoing wetting may result from surface adjustment–hydrology feedback and vegetation–hydrology feedback, demonstrating the internally driven resilience of ice-poor permafrost peatlands in maintaining their hydrology and carbon accumulation; and (4) ice-poor permafrost peatlands are likely to remain persistent carbon sinks under ongoing and future climate change.