A study of thunderstorm-induced delays at Frankfurt Airport, Germany

Abstract

It is a well-known fact that adverse weather significantly influences the safety and operating efficiency of air traffic, particularly in the terminal area. The unavoidable consequences of reduced operating efficiency are delays, diversions and cancellations of flights. In this paper the impact of thunderstorms on landing aircraft at Frankfurt Airport (Germany) during 1997 and 1998 is analysed. Thunderstorms are among the major weather phenomena affecting airport operations. Weather and operating conditions permitting, Frankfurt Airport is operated at more than 100% of its nominal capacity, which in turn lowers the actual capacity during periods of adverse weather. To the authors' knowledge this is the first quantitative study of weather impact on aviation in Germany. To identify thunderstorms as the unambiguous cause of delays, days without thunderstorms were used for reference and the difference in delay time was determined. The study shows that in 1997 thunderstorms increased the accumulated regular delay time by a factor of 6.3 and in 1998 by a factor of 1.1. On average, a thunderstorm typically caused about 740 delay minutes in addition to the 280 regular delay minutes for a sum of 100 arriving aircraft within four hours of average impact time.