Risk Assessment Analysis of Multiple Failure Modes Using the Fuzzy Rough FMECA Method: A Case of FACDG

Abstract

With the increasing operating mileage and ownership of high-speed electric multiple units (EMU), a reasonable operation and maintenance strategy is the key to ensure their safe and reliable operation. As a key component of recombined EMU, creating a reasonable and effective risk assessment method for the fully automatic coupler draft gear (FACDG) is the first task. Therefore, based on fuzzy rough number theory, combined with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method (EWM), technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and grey relational analysis (GRA), a risk priority indicator of comprehensive nearness degree is developed. Furthermore, a novel multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) failure modes, effects and criticality analysis (FMECA) assessment method is proposed. The effectiveness and rationality of the risk assessment method proposed are verified by the analysis of data and failure modes of a certain FACDG at fourth-level engineering maintenance.