Analisis Kendala Penawaran Dan Kebijakan Revitalisasi Produksi Padi

Abstract

Decreasing and decelerating production capacity of paddy have caused decreasing of estate capacity in food supply. This paper aims at describing production overview, problems and policy options to increase paddy production. Analysis methods uses in this study are cross tabulation and econometric model for projection. The results show that decreasing of paddy production growth rate was affected by: (a) decreasing of paddy’s planted/harvested? area, especially in Java and (b) stagnation or decreasing of land productivity. Based on historical tendency, and when the revitalization program of national rice industry is not effective, projection result shows that rice production will have negative growth rate during the period of 2006-2010 and import will increase during the same period. Government policy to increase production capacity in rice industry should be oriented to shift from price policy to focus on increasing capacity of production, i.e., (a) rehabilitation and extensification in irrigation infrastructure, (b) expansion of new land for paddy, and (c) acceleration of technology innovation, including revitalization of research and development and dissemination of agriculture innovation system along with deregulation and creation of conducive environment for private investors. Key