Selection of the appropriate methodology for the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis on the territory of the Republic of Serbia

Abstract

This paper presents a review of the approaches to the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis as well as discussion regarding the selection of the appropriate methodology of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the territory of the Republic of Serbia. Use of the deductive approach has been suggested, as well as that the new Serbian seismic hazard maps should be expressed through the values of the peak ground acceleration, having in mind that the new hazard maps for the Republic of Serbia should be compiled in compliance with the recommendations of the Eurocode 8.U ovom radu dat je pregled pristupa probabilistickoj analizi seizmickog hazarda, kao i diskusija vezana za izbor odgovarajuce metodologije probabilisticke analize seizmickog hazarda za teritoriju Republike Srbije. Predlozeno je koriscenje deduktivnog pristupa kao i da bi nove srpske karte seizmickog hazarda trebalo da budu izrazene preko maksimalnih (vrsnih "peak") vrednosti ubrzanja tla, imajuci u vidu da bi nove karte hazarda za Republiku Srbiju trebalo da budu sastavljene u skladu sa preporukama Evrokoda 8.