O efeito do bolsa família sobre a distorção idade-série

Abstract

In 2019, the age-grade distortion rate was 23.4% and 26.2% for the final years of elementary and high school, respectively. The high rates of age-grade distortion (TDI) reduce schooling and increase costs due to school delay. The objective of this work is to estimate the effect of the Bolsa Familia Program (PBF) on age-grade distortion. The microdata from the Education Supplement of the National Sample Survey by Continuous Household for the 2nd Quarter of the years 2016 to 2019 were used, and the technique used was the Propensity Score Matching (PSM). The results showed that participating in the PBF reduces between the distortion 2.23 and 6.02 p.p. The effects are greater for boys, reduction between 3.99 and 7.22 p.p., and in the Midwest region, whose reduction was 11.1 p.p. The results led us to conclude that the PBF generates positive effects on educational indicators.