Trajectory prediction of cyclist based on dynamic Bayesian network and long short-term memory model at unsignalized intersections

Abstract

Cyclist trajectory prediction is of great significance for both active collision avoidance and path planning of intelligent vehicles. This paper presents a trajectory prediction method for the motion intention of cyclists in real traffic scenarios. This method is based on dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The motion intention of cyclists is hard to predict owing to potential large uncertainties. The DBN is used to infer the distribution of cyclists’ intentions at intersections to improve the prediction time. The LSTM with encoder-decoder is used to predict the cyclists’ trajectories to improve the accuracy of prediction. Therefore, the DBN and LSTM are adopted to guarantee prediction accuracy and improve the prediction time. The experiment results are presented to show the effectiveness of the predict strategies.