Annual variability in the sound acorn production of Quercus serrata is regulated by a seed-predatory weevil in western Japan

Abstract

In plants, processes from flowering to seed maturation are influenced by various factors, including weather conditions, resource supply, and damage inflicted by seed predators, that collectively contribute to annual variability in seed production. To identify the important factors associated with sound acorn production in Quercus serrata, from 2014 to 2020, we investigated the demographic processes from flowering to acorn maturation in six individual trees within a stand in a warm-temperate secondary forest in western Japan. We found that the annual production of female flowers was positively correlated with the difference in April temperatures between successive years. However, their fluctuation was low and unaffected by either seed or flower production in the previous year. Compared with those of female flowers, the annual variability in sound acorn production within an individual was significantly higher and more synchronized. Key factor analyses revealed that reproductive losses due to the oviposition and sap-sucking activities of Mechoris ursulus were the most prominent factors contributing to the observed annual variation in total predispersal losses at an individual level, and their effects were synchronized among individuals within a population. Survival from female flowering to sound acorn maturation was strongly predicted by the temperature in June, which corresponds to the period of adult M. ursulus emergence. Our findings indicate that the damage inflicted by the main seed predator during the predispersal stage can sufficiently regulate the sound acorn production patterns in Q. serrata that appear to resemble masting behavior (the highly variable and synchronized production of acorns within individuals).