The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation

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Abstract

Accelerated warming in the Arctic, as compared to the rest of the globe, might have profound impacts on mid-latitude weather. Most studies analyzing Arctic links to mid-latitude weather focused on winter, yet recent summers have seen strong reductions in sea-ice extent and snow cover, a weakened equator-to-pole thermal gradient and associated weakening of the mid-latitude circulation. We review the scientific evidence behind three leading hypotheses on the influence of Arctic changes on mid-latitude summer weather: Weakened storm tracks, shifted jet streams, and amplified quasi-stationary waves. We show that interactions between Arctic teleconnections and other remote and regional feedback processes could lead to more persistent hot-dry extremes in the mid-latitudes. The exact nature of these non-linear interactions is not well quantified but they provide potential high-impact risks for society.

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Coumou, D., Di Capua, G., Vavrus, S., Wang, L., & Wang, S. (2018, December 1). The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation. Nature Communications. Nature Publishing Group. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05256-8

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