Forecasting electricity consumers and consumption in 2019-2050 to prevent electricity waste and reduce use of fossil fuels

Abstract

Electricity demand of Bangka Belitung Islands Province from time to time always increases. This is caused by the fact that electricity has become an important part of human civilization in various fields including the fields of economy, technology, social and human culture. Electricity distribution to consumers must be optimal in accordance with the needs of the community and industry. Problems will arise if the power sent from a power plant is far greater than the demand at the load, there will be an energy waste in the electricity company and a swelling use of fossil energy as a fuel generator because most of the power plants in Bangka Belitung Islands Province use fossil energy. To avoid these problems, we need a forecast method. This study used the least square method and linear regression that produces electricity consumers and electricity consumption forecasts in Bangka Belitung Islands Province in 2050 which is estimated to be 3,412554 GWh with an average increase of 3.7% every year.