Neutralizing and Neuraminidase Antibodies Correlate with Protection against Influenza during a Late Season A/H3N2 Outbreak among Unvaccinated Military Recruits

Abstract

Background: Antibodies that inhibit hemagglutination have long been considered a correlate of protection against influenza, but these antibodies are only a subset of potentially protective antibodies. Neutralizing and neuraminidase antibodies may also contribute to protection, but data on their associations with protection are limited. Methods: We measured preoutbreak hemagglutinin pseudovirus neutralization (PVN) and neuraminidase inhibition (NAI) antibody titers in unvaccinated military recruits who experienced an H3N2 influenza outbreak during training. We conducted a case-control study to investigate the association between titers and protection against influenza illness or H3N2-associated pneumonia using logistic regression. Results: With every 2-fold increase in PVN titer, the odds of medically attended polymerase chain reaction-confirmed H3N2 infection (H3N2+) decreased by 41% (odds ratio [OR], 0.59; 95% confidence interval [CI],. 45 to. 77; P