Emerging Markets and Volatility Spillover Effects: Empirical Evidence from Regional Emerging Economies of Pakistan, China, India, and Bangladesh

Abstract

Emerging markets and volatility spillover effects remained a highly focused area in the field of financial economics. Therefore, we have empirically testified the volatility spillover effects between markets of emerging economies i.e Pakistan, China, Bangladesh, and India during the period from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2015. We used Multivariate GARCH and causality models to identify the spillover effects. It is concluded that there exists significant evidence of spillover effect from the market of Pakistan to India, India to China and from China to Pakistan. However, the larger negative shift in the volatility occurs more frequently than positive shocks. Hence it is concluded that the impact of own spillovers of the markets is much higher than the impact of cross-market spillovers during this period.