Sipabio Analysis in Mapping the Conflict during Simultaneous Local Election 2017 at Kota Sabang

Abstract

Simultaneous Local Election for Local Leaders which was conducted in 2017 has a potency to induce the conflict. Mapping result of some institutions had shown that frequent violence conflict happened in Aceh Pidie, North of Aceh, Central Aceh and South of Aceh. Sabang is not included as one of prone areas based on the conflict mapping result. This contradicts the news that during General Election in 2012 and 2014, violence incidents happened in Kota Sabang such as burning cars, intimidation by using sharp weapons, and stealing the ballot boxes. The research question raised is the tendency of conflict that probably could happen in Kota in 2017. This research uses the qualitative approach by having depth interview with related parties. The data analysis is done using SIPABIO model to map the probability of conflict. Through the SIPABIO (Source, Issue Parties, Attitude, Behavior, Intervention, and Outcome) conflict mapping, this research tries to find out that Sabang also has conflict potency by having repeated election violation cases in the previous elections which provoked the conflicts. Even though it has relatively low conflict potency, prevention effort should be seriously made by the candidates, organizer and election supervisors, police as well as community to maintain peace and security of the election.