Scenario-Based Simulations for Climate Security: Enhancing Rapid Response to Converging Crises

Abstract

Climate security challenges require coordinated, rapid responses across civilian and military sectors to enhance readiness and foster resilience. A scenario-based analysis of dual-use technologies supports strengthened civil-military collaboration to address simultaneous climate security crises. Real-world events are drawn upon to create a scenario that illustrates the concept of converging crises, which are cross-domain, dual-use, and co-occurring incidents that challenge traditional rapid response frameworks. AI-powered tools and uncrewed systems may help organizations make better decisions by coordinating and learning through case study-based training on contingency crises, such as those involving wildfires and the Arctic. Scenario-based planning helps identify problems with governance and coordination in simulated environments, thereby supporting readiness to build critical climate security scenarios and rapid response measures.