An Improved Method for Photovoltaic Forecasting Model Training Based on Similarity

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is the most widely adopted renewable energy source. However, its inherent unpredictability poses considerable challenges to the management of power grids. To address the arduous and time-consuming training process of PV prediction models, which has been a major focus of prior research, an improved approach for PV prediction based on neighboring days is proposed in this study. This approach is specifically designed to handle the preprocessing of training datasets by leveraging the results of a similarity analysis of PV power generation. Experimental results demonstrate that this method can significantly reduce the training time of models without sacrificing prediction accuracy, and can be effectively applied in both ensemble and deep learning approaches.