Evidence of cosmic recurrent and lagged millennia-scale patterns and consequent forecasts: Multi-scale responses of solar activity (SA) to planetary gravitational forcing (PGF)

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Abstract

Solar activity (SA) oscillations over the past millennia are analyzed and extrapolated based on reconstructed solar-related records. Here, simple recurrent models of SA signal are applied and tested. The consequent results strongly suggest the following: (a) the existence of multi-millennial (∼ 9500-year) scale solar patterns linked with planetary gravitational forcing (PGF), and (b) their persistence, over at least the last glacial-interglacial cycle, but possibly since the Miocene (10.5 Myr ago). This empirical modeling of solar recurrent patterns has also provided a consequent multi-millennial-scale experimental forecast, suggesting a solar decreasing trend toward grand (super) minimum conditions for the upcoming period, AD-2050-2250 (AD-3750-4450). Taking into account the importance of these estimated SA scenarios, a comparison is made with other SA forecasts. In Appendixes A and B, we provide further verification, testing and analysis of solar recurrent patterns since geological eras, and their potential gravitational forcing.

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Sánchez-Sesma, J. (2016). Evidence of cosmic recurrent and lagged millennia-scale patterns and consequent forecasts: Multi-scale responses of solar activity (SA) to planetary gravitational forcing (PGF). Earth System Dynamics, 7(3), 583–595. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-583-2016

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