Predicting Survival in Mucinous Adenocarcinoma of the Appendix: Demographics, Disease Presentation, and Treatment Methodology

Abstract

Background: Mucinous adenocarcinoma of the appendix (MACA) follows a complex disease course with variable survival. Large-scale predictive modeling may determine subtle yet important prognostic factors otherwise unseen in smaller cohort analyses. Methods: Patients with MACA were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Research Plus database (2005–2019). Primary, secondary, and tertiary outcomes were disease-specific survival (DSS), overall survival (OS), and average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence. Results: Among 4,258 included patients, MACA was most frequently diagnosed at 50 to 69 years (52.0%), with female preponderance (55.9%). MACA incidence AAPC was 3.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9–5.9). For patients with exclusive, first-diagnosis MACA included in survival analysis (3,222 patients), median DSS and OS were 118 and 88 months, respectively. In DSS-based multivariable analysis, worse prognosis was associated with non-Hispanic Black background (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.02–1.82; p = 0.036), high grade (grade 3 HR 3.10, 95% CI 2.44–3.92; p < 0.001), lymphatic spread (HR 2.73, 95% CI 2.26–3.30; p < 0.001), and distant metastasis (HR 5.84, 95% CI 3.86–8.83; p < 0.001). In subcohort analysis of patients with rationale for cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC, 2,387 patients), CRS-HIPEC was associated with survival benefit compared with surgery alone but only for moderate-grade tumors (median DSS/OS 138/138 vs. 116/87 months; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Mucinous adenocarcinoma of the appendix incidence is increasing in the United States. Survival rates are affected by both demographics and classical risk factors, and CRS-HIPEC-associated survival benefit predominantly occurs in moderate-grade tumors. Further exploration of biologic and clinicopathologic features may enhance risk stratification for this disease.