Additive prognostic value of longitudinal myocardial deformation to SCORE2 in psoriasis

Abstract

Aims: Psoriasis has been associated with increased cardiovascular (CV) risk. We investigated whether markers of CV function and their change after treatment have a prognostic value for adverse outcomes. Methods and results: In a prospective study, at baseline and after 6 months of treatment with biological agents, we assessed in 298 psoriasis patients (i) left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS) and (ii) carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV), to evaluate their prognostic value for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including coronary artery disease, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause death over a 4-year follow-up period. During follow-up, 26 (8.7%) MACEs were recorded. By univariate analysis, decreasing absolute GLS values [hazard ratio (HR): 0.73, P < 0.001], decreasing GLS change after treatment (HR: 0.53, P = 0.008), and increasing PWV values (HR: 1.16, P = 0.049) were associated with adverse outcomes. Baseline GLS and its change post-Treatment remained independent predictors of adverse events after adjusting for several confounders (P < 0.05). The addition of baseline GLS and its absolute change post-Treatment to SCORE2 increased Harrell's C from 0.882 to 0.941. By multivariable analysis, for each 1% increase in absolute baseline GLS values, the risk of MACE decreased by 33% and for each 1% absolute increase of GLS post-Treatment compared with the baseline value, the risk of MACE decreased by 58%. Conclusion: Global longitudinal strain has an independent and additive prognostic value to SCORE2 for adverse CV events in psoriasis, providing timely decision-making for intensive anti-inflammatory treatment and aggressive modification of risk factors to reduce CV risk.