Multivariate Adaptive Generalized Poisson Regression Spline (MAGPRS) on the number of acute respiratory infection infants

Abstract

Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) is an infectious disease of the respiratory tract that affects the structure of the respiratory tract. The ARI is a health problem that should not be ignored because it causes high infant mortality. Therefore, it is important to know the factors that influence the ARI. Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) is one of method that can handle cases of overdispersion (variance is greater than the mean) or underdispersion (variance is less than the mean). Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline as a statistical method for fitting the relationship between a set of input variables and dependent variables. This research is the development of the MARS method and GPR namely MAGPRS. The application of the MAGPRS model was carried out in the case of the number of ARI in infants from surabaya health departement 2017. The results showed that the importance of predictor variables in MAGPRS, the variables affecting the number of ARI patients in infants are the percentage of low birth weight (X2), the percentage of unhealthy houses (X5), and the percentage given non-exclusive breastfeeding to infants (X1).