Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model

Abstract

There has been a cumulative increase in the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases, recoveries as well as deaths in Zambia as declared by the Ministry of Health on regular basis. Based on the available statistical information, this article will discuss a mathematical model concerning the spread of COVID-19 in Zambia. To predict the spread of COVID-19 in Zambian provinces, a multiple regression analysis describing the inter-play of factors influencing the increase in the number of cases is used to formalize the relationship. To ascertain the accuracy of the mathematical model used, exponential graphs regarding the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19) since its arrival over time in Zambia were obtained.