Prediction of quantitative risk assessment and risk level criteria based on the data from oil tanker collision simulation at Kyauk Phyu Deep Sea Port, Myanmar

Abstract

The rates of ship accidents in waterways have been massively increased by many reasons including ship to ship collision. Collisions of crude oil tankers threat the health, safety and marine environment to its related surroundings. This study presents the QRA for double hull crude oil tanker collision in Kyauk Phyu Deep Sea Port of Myanmar navigational waterway by following the FSA guide lines. In order to present the useful simplified risk assessment method, the risk is predicted including frequencies, consequences analysis with the virtual ship collision model which is constructed based on the local situations. Furthermore risk acceptance criteria are also illustrated by F-N, F-T and F-P curves. The maximum acceptable risk levels are also conducted for social risk (1∗10-3 fatalities per year), environmental risk (0.7∗10-3 spills per year) and property risk (4∗10-1 USD per year) respectively. Ultimately, this paper aims to develop the IMO's FSA into simplified method and hopes to assist the local authorities' decision making process in case of tanker incident occurs in this area.