Research on Supply Chain Risk Transmission Mechanism Based on Improved SIRS Model

Abstract

An improved SIRS model is constructed as a supply chain risk propagation model, based on the actual situation that node enterprises are eliminated in the supply chain network. From the perspective of the small-world network, simulation is carried out to analyze the risk transmission mechanism in the supply chain network and the influence of various parameters on the supply chain risk transmission and the node enterprises in the supply chain network. Research shows that the process of eliminating node enterprises is also a process of supply chain network's adjustment and gradual stability. In order to reduce the negative impact of this process on the supply chain network, node enterprises should take effective measures based on their own conditions to improve risk prevention capabilities, coordinate risk transmission, and enhance risk immunity, so as to improve the resistance of the entire supply chain to risks.