The systemic inflammation-based prognostic score predicts postoperative complications in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy

Abstract

Background: Although many studies have confirmed the correlation between inflammation-based or nutritional markers and postoperative complications in patients undergoing color-ectal cancer surgery, their correlation after undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) remains unclear. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of patients who underwent PD in Beijing Friendship hospital between 2018 and 2020. Univariate analysis, multivariate ana-lysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were performed. We assessed the preoperative modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), C-reactive protein (CRP), postoperative Glasgow Prognostic Score (poGPS), CRP on postoperative day 3 (POD3) and CAR on POD3. The optimal cut-off values were determined by performing logistic regression analysis. Results: Of the 172 patients who underwent PD, 74 (43.0%) developed complications, of whom 27 (15.7%) had clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistulas (CR-POPF) and 36 (20.9%) had positive drainage fluid cultures. Elevated levels of preoperative mGPS (P<0.001), poGPS (P<0.001), CRP (P<0.001) and CAR on POD3 were associated with postoperative complications. CRP on POD3 (OR=1.028, 95% CI=1.017–1.039, P<0.001) was an independent risk factor associated with postoperative complications in both univariate and multivariate analyses. CAR on POD 3 showed the largest area under the curve (AUC=0.883, P<0.001). Compared with CAR<4.86, CAR ≥4.86 on POD3 was associated with a higher probability of complications (85.5% vs 14.6%, P<0.001), especially CR-POPF (33.3% vs 4.9%, P<0.001), intra-abdominal infection (36.2% vs 10.7%, P<0.001) with a positive drainage fluid culture. Conclusion: CAR, an inflammatory response-based marker, can effectively predict early postoperative complications in patients undergone PD.