Classification of chronic kidney disease biomarkers to predict coronary artery calcium

Abstract

Background/Aims: The link between CKD and CAC has been mostly established by studies of patients who have abnormally high phosphorus levels and advanced CKD or end-stage renal disease. The aim of this study was to examine if there are distinct trajectory classes of serum phosphorus (controlling for eGFR) that are associated CAC in a relatively healthy, community sample. Methods: Phosphorus and eGFR were classified as a combined biomarker variable with 4 trajectory classes by growth mixture modeling. This classification variable was subsequently used to predict CAC as both a binary (i.e., onset) and continuous (i.e., accumulation) outcome using a two-part growth model. Results: Membership in one class of phosphorus trajectory versus the next lowest level was associated with a 97.9 Agatston unit increase in CAC (p