Long-Term Assessment of Morocco’s Offshore Wind Energy Potential Using ERA5 and IFREMER Wind Data

Abstract

Offshore wind energy is a promising resource for renewable energy development. Reanalysed wind data are unmatched by other wind data sources in providing a long-term assessment of wind power potential. In this study, 10 of the selected offshore locations close to the Moroccan coast were used to evaluate the ERA5 wind reanalysis dataset against the IFREMER-blended observational dataset covering the years 1993–2016. The ERA5 wind data’s capacity to represent wind variability in the area was confirmed by the results of the statistical methodologies used. All the reanalysed data scored better at capturing the observed wind variability at the southern sites than at the northern ones, where the wind variability was more complex. In a long-term evaluation from 1981 to 2020, the wind power potential in the Moroccan Atlantic coast was found to be very stable except in the northern sites and between Agadir and Bou Arich. Seven of the 10 sites considered were ranked as promising sites for offshore wind power generation, with wind power densities above 420 W/m2 at 100 m in height. Additionally, the change in signs in the variability toward the middle of the ERA5 record, which was seen at all locations and was also evident in the observations, did not significantly affect the yearly wind power density. However, the seasonal distribution of the latter was modified according to the local features of the seasonal variability.