Impact of Infection Patterns on the Outcomes of Patients with Hematological Malignancies in Southwest China: A 10-Year Retrospective Case-Control Study

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to assess the effect of infection patterns on the outcomes of patients with hematological malignancies (HM) and to identify the determinants of in-hospital mortality. Methods: A case-control study was retrospectively conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Chongqing, Southwest China from 2011 to 2020. Clinical characteristics, microbial findings, and outcomes of HM patients with infections were retrieved from the hospital information system. Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test was adopted to test the significance of mortality rate. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Log rank test were applied to evaluate and compare the 30-day survival rates of those groups. Binary logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to investigate the determinants of in-hospital mortality. Results: Of 1,570 enrolled participants, 43.63% suffered from acute myeloid leukemia, 69.62% received chemotherapy, and 25.73% had hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Microbial infection was documented in 83.38% of participants. Co-infection and septic shock were reported in 32.87% and 5.67% of participants, respectively. Patients with septic shock suffered a significantly lower 30-day survival rate, while those with distinct types of pathogens or co-infections had a comparable 30-day survival rate. The all-cause in-hospital mortality was 7.01% and higher mortality rate was observed in patients with allo-HSCT (7.20%), co-infection (9.88%), and septic shock (33.71%). Cox proportional hazards regression illustrated that elderly age, septic shock, and elevated procalcitonin (PCT) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. A PCT cut-off value of 0.24 ng/mL predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 77.45% and a specificity of 59.80% (95% CI = 0.684–0.779, P<0.0001). Conclusion: Distinct infectious patterns of HM inpatients were previously unreported in Southwest China. It was the severity of infection, not co-infection, source of infection, or type of causative pathogen that positively related to poor outcome. PCT guided early recognition and treatment of septic shock were advocated.