The evolution of aquaculture in the Mediterranean region: An anthropogenic climax stage?

Abstract

This study is the investigation of Mediterranean aquaculture complete history, from 1950 to 2020. Both functional than geographical expansion of aquaculture is investigated, considering two main complementary aspects of aquaculture: farmed species and farming countries. According to the models proposed in this research, Nile tilapia and Egypt will dominate the future of Mediterranean aquaculture. Malta and Israel are the first producer countries, in relative terms. The most pervasive species are European sea bass and gilthead sea bream that are promising for a future expansion. In several countries, aquaculture has huge potentiality of development and it could grow with a factor of 5 or more, based on the ratio capture vs fishery on country size. Aquaculture total production in 2020 was of 2.8 Mln tons and it is expected to reach from 3.65 Mln tons in 2030. Aquaculture will grow in the countries and species that in this moment are dominant and the future of Mediterranean aquaculture will be characterized by the affirmation of these ones.